Exploring Predictability in Armed Conflict

Child Soldiers in Armed Conflict

Children and Armed Conflict

Worldwide, children suffer a diverse and toxic array of effects of armed conflict, which increasingly are protracted and intermixed with problems such as terrorism. To support war-affected children, it is necessary to understand how children have been affected by war and to use appropriate conceptual analyses to inform the design of effective interventions. This paper introduces 2 thematic Spec...

Armed Conflict , 1989 – 2002

A total of 226 armed conflicts have been recorded for the period 1946–2002.1 During the period 1989–2002, there were 116 armed conflicts in 79 locations around the world (Table I). In 2002, there were 31 conflicts active in 24 places, both figures being lower than in 2001 (Gleditsch et al., 2002). The number of wars decreased significantly from 11 to 5 in 2002. This was due to the fact that the...

Predicting Armed Conflict, 2010–2050∗

The paper predicts changes in global and regional incidences of armed conflict for the 2010–2050 period. The predictions are based on a dynamic multinomial logit model estimation on a 1970–2009 cross-sectional dataset of changes between no armed conflict, minor conflict, and major conflict. Core exogenous predictors are population size, infant mortality rates, demographic composition, education...

Armed conflict and child health

Armed conflict has a major impact on child health throughout the world. One in six children worldwide lives in an area of armed conflict and civilians are more likely to die than soldiers as a result of the conflict. In stark contrast to the effect on children, the international arms trade results in huge profits for the large corporations involved in producing arms, weapons and munitions. Arme...